Fundamental analysis takes a long-term perspective on currency valuation. Fundamental analysis in Forex involves analyzing economic, social, and political factors that can influence the value of currencies. Let’s take a look at the main aspects of fundamental analysis in Forex.
- Economic Data
Fundamental analysis involves monitoring and interpreting economic indicators such as GDP growth rates, inflation, interest rates, employment data, retail sales, and trade balance. These indicators provide insights into the overall health and performance of an economy, which can impact currency values.
- Monetary Policy
Central banks play a crucial role in Forex markets through their monetary policy decisions. Fundamental analysts closely monitor central bank announcements regarding interest rates, money supply, and quantitative easing or tightening. Changes in monetary policy can have a significant impact on currency values.
- Market Expectations
Fundamental analysts consider market expectations and how they align with actual economic data or policy decisions. If economic data or central bank actions deviate significantly from market expectations, it can lead to sharp currency movements.
- Economic and Political Events
Fundamental analysis takes into account major economic and political events that can impact currency values. Examples include central bank meetings, economic summits, political speeches, and policy announcements. These events can generate volatility and opportunities in the Forex market.
- Political Factors
Political stability, government policies, elections, and geopolitical events can affect a country’s economy and currency. Fundamental analysis considers these factors as they can create uncertainty or stability, which in turn affects investor confidence and currency values.
- Commodity Prices
Forex markets, especially for commodity-dependent economies, can be influenced by changes in commodity prices. Currencies of countries exporting commodities like oil, gold, or agricultural products can be affected by fluctuations in their respective commodity prices.
