Tinjauan Analitis Pasangan Mata Uang Utama pada 2024.11.22

The EUR/USD currency pair

Indikator teknis pasangan mata uang:

• Buka sebelumnya: 1.0541
• Tutup sebelumnya: 1.0474
• % perubahan selama sehari terakhir: -0.64 %

The euro fell to USD 1.0460, the lowest level since mid-October 2023, pressured by the general strengthening of the dollar, heightened tensions between Russia and Ukraine, and growing concerns about downside risks to the eurozone economy. ECB Governing Council spokesman Stournaras said yesterday that since inflation is falling, the ECB should cut rates at every meeting until it reaches the so-called neutral rate of 2%.

Rekomendasi trading

• Level support: 1.0441, 1.0233
• Level resistance: 1.0515, 1.0568, 1.0568, 1.0607, 1.0654, 1.0714, 1.0766, 1.0795

The EUR/USD currency pair’s hourly trend is bearish. The euro continues to decline against the background of the strengthening of the dollar. Yesterday, the price consolidated below the flat accumulation and rushed lower. The price aims to test liquidity below 1.0441, where we can look for buying if buyers react. Selling can be considered intraday to this support level. A break and consolidation below 1.0441 could trigger a strong sell-off wave.

Skenario alternatif:

if the price breaks the resistance level of 1.0654 and consolidates above it, the uptrend will likely resume.

The GBP/USD currency pair

Indikator teknis pasangan mata uang:

• Buka sebelumnya: 1.2649
• Tutup sebelumnya: 1.2589
• % perubahan selama sehari terakhir: -0.47 %

The British pound reversed early gains to trade below $1.26, hitting a six-month low. Today, the UK will release retail sales data as well as a report on business activity in the manufacturing and services sectors. Weak reports may put additional pressure on the British currency.

Rekomendasi trading

• Level support: 1.2566, 1.2528
• Level resistance: 1.2697, 1.2726, 1.2766, 1.2878, 1.2905, 1.2982, 1.3023.

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the GBP/USD currency pair is bearish. Currently, the price is aiming to test the liquidity below the lower 1.2566 or 1.2528. If buyers show a reaction here, the price could rise sharply. There are no optimal entry points for selling right now, as the price is in the global demand zone. The MACD divergence also indicates an impending correction.

Skenario alternatif:

 if the price breaks the resistance level at 1.2714 and consolidates above it, the uptrend will likely resume.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Indikator teknis pasangan mata uang:

• Buka sebelumnya: 155.39
• Tutup sebelumnya: 154.33
• % perubahan selama sehari terakhir: -0.68 %

The Japanese yen rose to around 155 per dollar on Thursday, recovering from losses in the previous session after recent hawkish remarks from Bank of Japan Governor Ueda. Speaking at a conference in Paris, Ueda said the Central Bank will scrutinize numerous data before next month’s rate review and carefully consider the potential impact of yen fluctuations on the economic and price outlook. The governor also emphasized that decisions will be made “from meeting to meeting” based on newly available information. Traders believe that the Bank of Japan is laying the groundwork for another interest rate hike.

Rekomendasi trading

• Level support: 154.26, 153.91, 153.70, 153.29, 153.03
• Level resistance: 155.25, 155.87, 156.32

From a technical point of view, the medium-term trend of the USD/JPY currency pair is bullish. The price yesterday tested the liquidity below 154.51, where after mini accumulation, the price returned above the level. This is a strong signal that the price will rise. Intraday, we can look for buying with a target of 155.25 or even higher. There are no optimal entry points for selling now.

Skenario alternatif:

if the price breaks down the support level of 153.91, the downtrend will likely resume.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

Indikator teknis pasangan mata uang:

• Buka sebelumnya: 2650
• Tutup sebelumnya: 2669
• % perubahan selama sehari terakhir: +0.72 %

Gold rose to above $2,680 per ounce on Friday, rising for the fourth consecutive session as investors sought refuge in the metal amid heightened geopolitical uncertainty as tensions between Russia and Ukraine escalated. Russia yesterday launched an intercontinental ballistic missile at Dnipro city. At the same time, the US vetoed a UN resolution on a ceasefire in Gaza, renewing fears over the ongoing Middle East conflict.

Rekomendasi trading

• Level support: 2618, 2606, 2580, 2559, 2471
• Level resistance: 2703, 2708, 2733, 2749

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the XAU/USD has changed to a bullish one. The price is now aiming to test liquidity above 2703. Considering the MACD divergence, sellers may take the initiative here, which will open up selling opportunities. Intraday, you can look for buying up to this level.

Skenario alternatif:

if the price breaks and consolidates below the support level 2559, the downtrend will likely resume.