Daily Forecast

The Forecast

2023.07.04
The number of new jobless claims in the US was 207,000, while analysts expected 194,500. Inflation and the labor market remain the focus of investors and the Federal Reserve.
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The Forecast

2023.07.04
The December minutes of the US Federal Reserve meeting showed that the central bank might have to raise interest rates earlier than expected.
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The Forecast

2023.07.04
The US manufacturing PMI data from ISM for December was weak (58.7 vs. 61.1 last month).
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The Forecast

2023.07.04
Traders and investors are betting on an early interest rate hike from the Fed, despite the rise in COVID-19 cases. Yesterday, the dollar index rose sharply, helped by a jump in Treasury bond yields.
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The Forecast

2023.07.04
Over the year, the dollar index increased by 6.45% (the best performance since 2015). This led to a decline in major currencies against the dollar.
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The Forecast

2023.07.04
The number of new jobless claims in the USA amounted to 198,000, while analysts expected 206,000.
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The Forecast

2023.07.04
The US Fed has left the interest rate at 0.25% and is scheduled to accelerate the QE reduction to 30 billion a month and will end the QE program in March.
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The Forecast

2023.07.04
The US labor market statistics are improving. Nonfarm payrolls report showed 531,000 new jobs in October (vs. 455,000 expected). The US unemployment rate fell to 4.6% from 4.8%.
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The Forecast

2023.07.04
The US consumer confidence increased to 113.8 in October (expected 108.3, previous 109.8). New home sales in the US jumped by 14% in September, with expectations of a 2.7% increase. This is a good sig...
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The Forecast

2023.07.04
The number of new jobless claims in the US amounted to 184,000; analysts expected 220,000. The last time such a figure was in 1969. Today the inflation data will be published in the US.
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