Inflation in the United States reached a record over the past 30 years

The biggest increases in consumer prices were for electricity (30% vs. 24.8% in September) and gasoline (49.6%). Inflation also rose for new houses (3.5% vs. 3.2%); food (5.3% vs. 4.6%, the highest rate since January 2009); new vehicles (9.8% vs. 8.7%); clothing (4.3% vs. 3.4%), and medical services (1.7% vs. 0.9%).

In his last speech, US President Joe Biden said that reducing inflation was one of his policy priorities. Now, for Biden to keep his words, the US Federal Reserve needs to accelerate cuts in the QE program and raise interest rates.

According to the US Department of Labor, the number of new jobless claims in the USA reached 267,000, while analysts expected 260,000. This was the lowest number since March 2020.

Amid a surge in inflation, the US bond yields sharply increased yesterday. But surprisingly, gold prices also rose, though government bond yields usually have an inverse correlation with gold. Investors initially bought gold because Fed spokesman Clarida said Monday that the Federal Reserve has no plans to raise rates next year. But yesterday’s inflation data will likely change the Fed’s view.

Natural gas inventories showed an increase of 7 billion cubic meters (bcm) against an expected 10 bcm. European natural gas prices fell to their lowest level in more than a week as Russia is gradually increasing supply.

Crude oil inventories were 1 mln barrels compared to an expected 1.68 mln barrels. Despite the deficit, oil prices sharply decreased amid a sharp rise in inflation in the US yesterday.

Asian stock indices are trading flat today. Japan’s Nikkei 225 index has already gained 0.6% after the market opening. Japan’s stock market is rising on expectations that the country’s new Prime Minister Fumio Kishida will present a new economic stimulus package in the coming days. The weakening of the national currency also supports the market.

Chinese real estate developer Evergrande has officially declared bankruptcy. Evergrande needs to pay about $7.4 billion in bonds maturing next year. But Chinese indices reacted quietly to the news. China’s Shanghai Composite index increased by 1.15%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng increased by 1.09%, and China’s blue-chip index added 1.61%.

Australia’s unemployment rate increased to 5.2% from 4.8%. Weak labor market statistics caused the Australian ASX 200 Index to decline 0.57%.

S&P 500 (F) 4,646.71 −38.54 (−0.82%)

Dow Jones 36,079.94 −240.04 (−0.66%)

DAX 16,067.83 +27.36 (+0.17%)

FTSE 100 7,340.15 +66.11 (+0.91%)

USD Index 94.88 +0.93 (+0.99%)

News feed for: 2023.07.04

  • Australia Unemployment Rate (m/m) at 02:30 (GMT+2);
  • Japan Industrial Production (m/m) at 04:00 (GMT+2);
  • UK GDP (q/q) at 09:00 (GMT+2);
  • UK Industrial Production (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+2);
  • UK Manufacturing Production (m/m) at 09:00 (GMT+2);
  • ECB Economic Forecasts at 12:00 (GMT+2).

This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.