Gambaran Analisis untuk Pasangan Mata Wang Utama pada 2025.01.09

The EUR/USD currency pair

Indikator teknikal pasangan mata wang:

• Dibuka Sebelum: 1.0341
• Ditutup Sebelum: 1.0318
• % perubahan sepanjang hari terakhir: -0.22 %

The euro slipped below $1.03, nearing a two-year low reached earlier this year, amid concerns over US trade policy and Eurozone inflation data. President-elect Donald Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to justify the imposition of sweeping tariffs. Earlier reports suggested softer measures, but Trump rejected them, signaling a reversal of his tariff plans. In the Eurozone, inflation rose to 2.4% in December from 2.2% in November, but analysts believe that won’t stop the European Central Bank from cutting rates by 25 basis points this month.

Cadangan perdagangan

• Tahap sokongan: 1.0272, 1,0223
• Tahap rintangan: 1.0326, 1.0357, 1.0382, 1.0403, 1.0425, 1.0447, 1.0493

The EUR/USD currency pair’s hourly trend is bearish. Yesterday, sellers managed to break the support level near 1.0327, which brought back the bearish bias on the intraday time frames. The support level at 1.0272 slowed the decline a bit, but due to the fact that the nearest liquidity level is below 1.0223, the price will try to test it. Under such market conditions, it is best to look for sell trades from 1.0326 or 1.0357, but with confirmation. There are no optimal entry points for buying right now.

Senario alternatif:

if the price breaks the resistance level of 1.0425 and consolidates above it, the uptrend will likely resume.

The GBP/USD currency pair

Indikator teknikal pasangan mata wang:

• Dibuka Sebelum: 1.2475
• Ditutup Sebelum: 1.2361
• % perubahan sepanjang hari terakhir: -0.92 %

The British pound fell to $1.234, the lowest level since April 2024, as the strengthening US Dollar overshadowed the rise in the UK’s borrowing costs, which are at their highest level in 27 years. Concerns over US trade policy have added pressure on the UK as well. Meanwhile, investors expect the Bank of England to cut rates by around 50 basis points this year despite inflation remaining above its 2% target.

Cadangan perdagangan

• Tahap sokongan: 1.2299
• Tahap rintangan: 1.2371, 1.2455, 1.2507, 1.2540, 1.2568, 1.2614, 1.2667

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the GBP/USD currency pair is bearish. Yesterday, the price of the British pound consolidated below 1.2370 without a significant reaction from buyers. In this scenario, we should expect a further price decline to 1.2299, below which there is an accumulation of liquidity. Sell trades can be considered from 1.2371 but with confirmation. There are no optimal entry points for buying.

Senario alternatif:

if the price breaks through the resistance level at 1.2540 and consolidates above it, the uptrend will likely resume.

The USD/JPY currency pair

Indikator teknikal pasangan mata wang:

• Dibuka Sebelum: 158.02
• Ditutup Sebelum: 158.34
• % perubahan sepanjang hari terakhir: +0.20 %

On Thursday, the Japanese yen was hovering around 158 per dollar, near its lowest levels in the last six months. The local currency continues to be pressured by dollar strength, helped by hawkish Federal Reserve signals and growing concerns over Trump’s tariff threats. Domestically, data showed that real wages in Japan fell to a 0.3% annualized rate in November, marking the fourth consecutive month of decline. This dampened the outlook for a potential interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan.

Cadangan perdagangan

• Tahap sokongan: 157.89, 157.18, 156.44, 155.94, 154.34
• Tahap rintangan: 158.40, 159.47

From a technical point of view, the medium-term trend of the USD/JPY currency pair is bullish. The Japanese yen is trading in the supply area with no significant reaction from sellers after liquidity tests. This suggests that sellers lack the potential to reverse the move. In this scenario, the probability of further price growth is increasing. Buying can be sought from the support level of 157.89, but with a short stop loss, as the price consolidation below this level may cause a sharp sell-off.

Senario alternatif:

if the price breaks and consolidates below the 155.94 support, the downtrend will likely resume.

The XAU/USD currency pair (gold)

Indikator teknikal pasangan mata wang:

• Dibuka Sebelum: 2650
• Ditutup Sebelum: 2663
• % perubahan sepanjang hari terakhir: +0.49 %

Gold prices trimmed gains and traded around $2,655 per ounce on Wednesday as investors reacted to the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s December meeting. Officials emphasized a cautious approach, citing uncertainty surrounding President-elect Donald Trump’s proposed tariff policy. The minutes said that future rate cuts will depend on clear economic indicators, such as a marked rise in unemployment or a decline in inflation to the 2% target.

Cadangan perdagangan

• Tahap sokongan: 2645, 2636, 2622, 2603, 2570
• Tahap rintangan: 2665, 2672, 2692

From the point of view of technical analysis, the trend on the XAU/USD is bearish. Sellers reacted sharply to liquidity above 2665, but moving average lines are dynamic support levels and support upside. In this scenario, intraday buy trades can be sought to reach the sell side liquidity void area above 2672. If the price consolidates below the moving averages, the price could sell off to 2645 or even 2636.

Senario alternatif:

if the price breaks above the 2664 resistance level, the uptrend will likely resume.